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Josh Smith numbers Refresh

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Referenced Players Smith, Josh   Horford, Al   
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avatarjboldt73 (49 posts)  9/23/2012 2:50 PM

I noticed that Josh Smith's number mirror those of last year after Horford was out for the year.  any slide there are does the lost of Johnson keep them high?


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avatarmbuser (4344 posts)  9/23/2012 4:03 PM

Yes, a worst-case in the trade-off from JJ to Horford is a wash for Smith. Lou Williams is around to soak up some usage, but he's not going to player starter's minutes, so there aren't many reasons to expect a regression offensively.


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avatarjboldt73 (49 posts)  9/23/2012 4:18 PM

I definately see a case for no decline in points but what about Reb?


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avatarmbuser (4344 posts)  9/23/2012 5:14 PM

Horford's career reb% = 16.5
Zaza's reb% last season = 16.4
 


100% Agree (1 vote)
avatarJT Marlin (54 posts)  9/24/2012 3:57 PM

I disagree about the potential impact of LouWill.  He actually had a higher usage rate than JoeJohn last season

LW - 26.3 MPG / 25.5 USG

JJ - 35.5 MPF / 23.0 USG

I think LouWill will play 30+ MPG this season.  His arrival cancels out the positve impact of  the JoeJohn departure.  Based on this, I think the return of Horford will negatively impact Smith's PTS/REB/AST stats.


50% Agree (2 votes)
avatarPhil O'Pastry (11 posts)  9/24/2012 5:07 PM

^  I would think Teague is the one player that benefits from Joe Johnson being shipped out.  Plus I think Smith maintains the same rebounding numbers as before due to the drop off from Marvin Williams to Kover/Morrow/Stevenson.


100% Agree (1 vote)

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