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Parker vs Teague vs Holiday Refresh

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Referenced Players Parker, Tony   Holiday, Jrue   Teague, Jeff   
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avatarGame. Blouses. (18 posts)  9/28/2012 10:38 AM

I'm noticing these three point guards are often drafted around the same time in the middle rounds of the mocks I've been doing.  I'm consistently noticing Holiday going first, followed by Parker, then Teague taken last. According to BBM's projections, Teague leads the way at 46, Holiday next at 56, and Parker at 66.

How would you rank them? I can't help but think Holiday will see an increased role with Iguodala gone. Personally, I'd take him before Teague or Parker, who I see as pretty much equal at this point.


0% Agree (0 votes)
avatarpower101 (327 posts)  9/28/2012 10:58 AM

parker is a safe pick in terms of production (not in terms of injuries). Teague has Devin Harris to worry about. I would go with the upside of Holiday, then Parker, then Teague. Also, I think you can get teague later in the draft, so it makes sense holding off on him.


0% Agree (1 vote)
avatarHailfire4 (510 posts)  9/28/2012 11:09 AM

I can't see any of the 3 having time issues. I would rank them Jrue, Teague, Lin, TParker. these 4 PG seem to be that tier after Nash and before Lilliard.


0% Agree (1 vote)
avatarpower101 (327 posts)  9/28/2012 11:46 AM

I do agree with you hailfire that time SHOULDNT be an issue with teague, but he does have that slight increase of risk because of Harris which jrue doesn't have. I would project teague as a plus 30 mpg guy, but I do have a slight red flag on him for harris potentially eating into a few more extra minutes here and there.


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avatarCap. (533 posts)  9/28/2012 12:15 PM

I think you have to rank these guys based on what they represent.  Holliday is upside, Parker is reliability, and Teague is downside.  I'd go with that.


100% Agree (1 vote)
avatarpower101 (327 posts)  9/28/2012 2:03 PM

well put cap


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avatarJT Marlin (54 posts)  9/28/2012 2:37 PM

Parker is reliable alright - reliably average for fantasy with per season ranks of 64, 69, 205, 59 & 117 over the past 5 seasons.  After the first few rounds, I never like to take a guy that doesn't have a reasonable chance to considerably outperform his draft position.  I've never owned Parker in fantasy and that will not change this season with his ADP at 55.

To me, Holiday is clearly the guy to target 1st.  Dude's only 22 and entering his 4th year in the league.  Plus, the team jettisoned the players that most affected his stats - Iggy & LouWill.  He will see a ton of minutes and the 3PM/AST/STL combo that he will provide will be great.  I know it's a small sample size but check out his 2012 13G playoff run stats.  The FG% is not good but everything else is.  Almost every sign you look for in a break-out player is there with Holiday.

I like Teague a lot too.  I don't see the team stunting his growth in order to give major minutes to Harris - whose once promising career has completely stalled.  The team's front office even came out and said that this will be more of Jeff's team than it has ever been.  His MPG should at least stay the same and look for him to build on last years solid season, where he ranked 55.


100% Agree (3 votes)
avatardasein (625 posts)  9/28/2012 2:48 PM

ugg...hate using playoff stats for fantasy projections. Hate. It. taz

 

That said, Jrue is easy the best of that bunch for mine, with Teague at 2. 


100% Agree (1 vote)
avatarJT Marlin (54 posts)  9/28/2012 2:57 PM

So you're telling me that Jerome James didn't pan out after his solid 2005 playoff run....say what?

I agree that using playoff stats to project future reg season stats can lead to disappointment.  My reasoning was more to show the near 5 MPG increase and also the increase in 3PM, PTS & AST- the last of which could really go higher without Iggy.  Even if Holiday had a poor playoff run, I'd still be as bullish on his prospects for this season.


100% Agree (1 vote)
avatarHYEPWRD (13 posts)  10/16/2012 9:46 AM

lets not forget...Jrue NEVER gets hurt. To me that means alot.


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