It's funny you mention this trade possibility, because I was thinking of the exact same thing, only the opposite. I have Deron Williams, but was thinking of trading him for Noah. I don't really want to trade Williams because he's uptrending now with the new coach (check his games since PJ Carlesimo started coaching), but because I have another deal in the works for Chris Paul, so I need to get rid of a PG.
Based on current stats, Noah is very similar in value to Deron. However, because Deron is uptrending and likely to increase his current average numbers (due to his poor start this season), Deron may hold more long term value. Noah on the otherhand is downtrending since his excellent start. His numbers have been declining in the last month and is likely to continue declining especially when Derrick Rose returns.
I don't see too much of a change in Noah's numbers, but its just the fact that he overachieved in the early part of the season and now he's going back closer to his norm. Deron is the complete opposite, he underachieved early in the year, and is just starting to go back to his norm which means he's in the upswing.
I wouldn't do this trade if I'm a Deron owner (which I am in this case). The only way I'm gonna do this is if I get a little extra - like a 2 for 2 swap where the 2nd player he's giving me is slightly better than the 2nd player I'm giving him.
Overall, it's not a terribly bad deal, but I think the Deron owner should get slightly more (you might be able to get away with it if the guy you're trading with only looks at the current numbers for what they are).
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