jeff_a (4 posts)  10/8/2012 9:05 AM

I'm extremely high on both this year. Noticed a 15.0 ppg projection for each here, a number I feel is way too low for both guys. Love Wes because there just isn't any competition there for his minutes like with Crawford or Roy in the past. I think he's going to pour in around 17-18. Thompson is primed for a breakout year as well. Yeah, Brandon Rush is also a favorite of Mark Jackson, but I think he's going to split time with Barnes at SF and Klay will have the SG position to himself. I see a Kevin Martin- from-a-few-years-ago type year, maybe not 20 ppg, but 18+, with some huge nights intertwining with some so-so ones, depending on if his threes are falling. Thompson could lead the league in threes this year.

Buser, bring me back to Earth on these two before I start taking them in the third and fourth rounds, quick!

bruin99 (201 posts)  10/8/2012 10:21 AM

What does Klay bring to the table other than some points and lots of 3s?  At best, he's an average thief, a good FT% but he rarely gets to the line, everything else is below average.  You're 3rd-4th rounders need to be much more well rounded players or absolutely dominant in a couple cats (Ibaka).

Furthermore, if everyone else is taking Klay in the 7th round, you don't need to spend a 3rd-4th round on him.  A 6th round gives you about an 80% chance of getting him, a 5th round gives you a 99% chance of getting him.

Last, if H2H, he has a terrible playoff schedule, 9 games total in the 3 default playoff weeks.

jeff_a (4 posts)  10/8/2012 10:42 AM

The third/fourth round line was a joke. I won't take them that high. Fifth round in a 12-team league for each sounds about right to me, and yes, hoping they fall to the 6th or 7th is the way to go. The point of the post was that 15.0 ppg was too low.

Phil O'Pastry (11 posts)  10/8/2012 11:02 AM

I actually think Klay will provide more assists than people think for the 2 spot.  I like him and can easily see him sneaking in to the 40-50 during the season.

eastbayglorious (2 posts)  10/8/2012 3:40 PM

Klay's appropriate place on the board has been one of the summer's biggest questions for me. Make no mistake, the Warriors traded Ellis not just because they believe in Curry, but mostly because they believe in Thompson. I project quite a bit of usage, especially with Curry's tenuous ankle. I'm targeting him in about the 5th this year as a roto player, contributing in many ways outside of 3's. Some steals and boards, but most attractively with sneaky contributions in assists and blocks. With Curry, Lee, and Bogut requiring defensive attention as scorers and passers , he very well may lead the NBA in 3's this year. He's also fantastic insurance for Curry owners.

ak murthy (196 posts)  10/8/2012 6:01 PM

Extremely high on Klay in H2H formats this year for many of the reasons already mentioned. In a 10 team league, If my team emphasizes PTS/3's, I'd consider taking him 8th round (mid-late 70's).

mbuser (4319 posts)  10/10/2012 1:49 AM

It's hard for me to find more FGA for Matthews - I expect the usage to be fairly even after LMA among the starters, and our projections certainly like Matthews just fine in terms of expected impact.

As for Klay, I'm on the lower end of the wide range of expectations for him, mostly because he has a lot of excited backers. With everyone healty, he's the fourth option, although we've pegged him at third on the team in FGA/g. Obviously the key players there are not exactly ironmen, but I'm not ready to say that 12-13 is simply a continuation of 11-12 stretch run numbers for a completely depleted team.

Resonator (1 posts)  10/11/2012 4:11 AM

The above post hit it on the head in regards to Matthews. I'm a Portland native and a huge Trail Blazer fan and I just don't see his scoring production going up by much, I would actually be surprised if he hit the 15 ppg mark. With the arrival of Lillard and after Batum's free agency fiasco this off season, Matthews will probably sit as the 4th scoring option depending on how the C position shapes. With all that said, who really knows until the season starts, Matthews has shown promise in the past but has lacked the consistency to convince me to take him anywhere near the 5th or 6th.

I like Thompson though, waaaay more upside.