DFS 1/9 Wednesday (free article)

January 9, 2019 by Greg EhrenbergView Comments (163)

Twitter: @gehrenbergdfs

Harden is back. Let's not panic if he scores 5 fantasy points in the first half because he is still finishing with 70.

Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Wizards - 7:00 pm

PHI

Last night’s game was so good against the Wizards that we are running it back. Philly led by over 30 points in the second half and the starters didn’t touch the floor in the fourth quarter. Redick missed last night’s game, which meant a start for Korkmaz and extra playing time for Shamet. Korkmaz is the better play if Redick is out again and Embiid is a fine option on the high end in a vacuum, but I strongly prefer Harden. If we get enough value than maybe they can be fit together.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

Embiid

WAS

It didn't take long for Otto Porter to get hurt again. He is questionable to play tonight with a hand injury, but the other wing players are already priced up on Washington. Bradley Beal has been consistently churning out good performances since Wall got hurt and he is a goof play for all formats.

Cash Plays

Beal

GPP Plays

Beal

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics - 7:00 pm

IND

Myles Turner is doubtful to play tonight, so Sabonis will stick in the starting lineup. He averages right around 40 fantasy points as a starter this year and he is somebody I consider a must play in cash games tonight despite a tough matchup against the Celtics. Kyle O’ Quinn is always capable of scoring high amount of fantasy points quickly, but the Pacers just aren’t giving him enough opportunity for me to roster him.

Cash Plays

Sabonis

GPP Plays

Sabonis

BOS

The Pacers have been a strong defense this year. They are a weaker defense without Turner and allow 2 more points per 100 possessions without him on the floor, but that isn’t enough for me to consider this a strong spot for the Celtics. There isn’t any real value to any of their price tags. I don’t think there is a need to roster any Boston players in this spot with so many other games to choose from.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets - 7:30 pm

ATL

Lin was a strong value play last night with Kevin Huerter out. Lin drew the start, but with Huerter expected to play tonight, Lin loses most of his value. The Nets struggle to defend big men, which makes Dedmon and Collins the guys to roster from Atlanta. I am not quite ready to trust Trae Young in cash games, but he is playing better over the last month and hasn’t had many duds. He was a train wreck earlier in the year.

Cash Plays

Collins
Dedmon (Draftkings)

GPP Plays

Collins
Dedmon
Young

BKN

After missing last game, both Joe Harris and DeMarre Carroll are expected to play tonight. Kurucs and Napier return to lesser roles after being strong values last time out. Even though Trae Young has gotten better on the offensive end of the floor, his defense is still atrocious. He last in the league in Defensive Real Plus Minues and Russell should be able to score at will against him.

Cash Plays

Russell

GPP Plays

Russell

Milwaukee Bucks at Houston Rockets - 8:00 pm

MIL

For exposure to the Bucks, I think Bledsoe and Middleton make more sense for this slate than Giannis. I don’t have an issue with Giannis by himself, but I am planting my flag in Harden tonight as my expensive guy. It is going to be tough to make lineups that fit in both Harden and the Greek Freak.

Cash Plays

Middleton
Bledsoe

GPP Plays

Middleton
Bledsoe

HOU

Harden, Harden and Harden. Target him until the Rockets get back Gordon and Paul. There is just no way to price him properly and the combination of his ceiling and floor is far greater than any other DFS asset right now. We have seen Harden struggle at time in recent games, but he still finishes around 60 fantasy points on a bad day. He could eventually have a bad game, but I am not overthinking rostering him. He has had 13 strong games in a row and you are in a good spot if rostered him for every one of those games.

Cash Plays

Harden
Rivers

GPP Plays

Harden
Rivers
House

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans - 8:00 pm

CLE

This game has blowout written all over it. Cleveland is a 14 point underdog and they could be without Nance after he left last night’s game in the first quarter with a leg injury. Tristan Thompson is still a value with his salary down from where he was at pre injury, but this game is one I am wary off due to the potential blowout.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

Thompson

NOR

If you want to pivot off of Harden then I think Anthony Davis makes sense. This is not a route I am going down, but Davis should come at less ownership and the upside is high for him against the Cavs. I tend to be pretty conservative when it comes to blowouts and I think Harden is the much safer play.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies - 8:00 pm

SAS

Not only does Memphis play the slowest pace in the league, but they are also sixth in defensive efficiency. They allow the second fewest fantasy points of any team in the league and are a defense I don’t often target.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

MEM

I think this is a game to avoid due to the pace of play. Memphis play the slowest pace in the league and the Spurs come in ranked 25th. I think it is unlikely we see many possessions in this game.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks - 8:30 pm

PHO

Booker is doubtful to play tonight. Assuming he doesn’t play, we can look at Jackson, Melton and Oubre as good value plays. I have slight concerns about the playing time of Oubre, but he is so cheap and everybody is going to roster him in cash, which mitigates the risk. He was great last night with Booker out.

Cash Plays

Oubre Jr
Jackson
Melton

GPP Plays

Oubre Jr
Jackson
Melton
Warren

DAL

DeAndre Jordan is in a good spot for sure, but the rest of the Mavs are a bit up in the air. Doncic and Smith are both listed as questionable. I never know what to make of the Dallas injury reports because they see to be really liberal with who they list as questionable. Doncic is a good play if he’s active.

Cash Plays

Jordan

GPP Plays

Jordan

Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz - 9:00 pm

ORL

The Jazz have struggled to defend centers this year. I have played big men against them recently, but we don’t have the discount on Vooch that we have seen from other centers over the last couple of weeks.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

UTA

If you asked me before the season to name one player who for sure would never be DFS relevant, I probably would have answered Raul Neto. I would have been wrong. With both Rubio and Exum out, Neto is going to have to play significant point guard minutes. Fanduel decided to price him up to a ridiculous salary, so we can ignore him there, but he’s a good play on DK. Mitchell should also see increased ball handling responsibility.

Cash Plays

Mitchell
Neto (Draftkings)
Ingles

GPP Plays

Mitchell
Neto (Draftkings)
Ingles

Chicago Bulls at Portland Trail Blazers - 10:00 pm

CHI

There was some value on Bulls’ players for a while, but now they have everyone healthy. Portis could seal some frontcourt minutes and LaVine, Dunn and Markkkanen are going to eat into other’s usage. LaVine is the highest upside play of the trio, but he is a low priority play.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

LaVine

POR

Mo Harkless was just starting to play well and he’s hurt again. There is marginal value on Evan Turner, who is starting in his place. This is expected to be a low pace game and there is some blowout risk, which will limit the amount of exposure I want to guys like Lillard and Nurkic. Nurkic is also really costly after his strong recent play.

Cash Plays

Turner

GPP Plays

Turner
Lillard

Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Lakers - 10:30 pm

DET

The Pistons make for good targets tonight. Both Drummond and Griffin are good individual plays and I think Bruce Brown is good for value. He isn’t the highest upside play in the world, but he is close to min price and seeing over 30 minutes recently. He hasn’t had big games since seeing more minutes, but he has also seen really tough matchups. This is an easier spot for him against the Lakers.

Cash Plays

Brown
Griffin
Drummond

GPP Plays

Brown
Griffin
Drummond
Jackson

LAL

The young guys for the Lakers have gotten more expensive with LeBron out, but I still think there is upside in the price point of Kuzma. His price has stayed down due to a back injury. He sat out two games and left one game early. After playing 37 minutes last game, I don’ think there any concerns about lingering back problems for Kuz.

Cash Plays

Kuzma

GPP Plays

Kuzma

Again, pay up for Harden. The best value on the slate comes from the Suns with Booker expected to miss another game.

 
157.9d ago
Yea Russ saved the night. He was also lower owned than I thought he would be.
158.0d ago
Westbrook wins all the $$
158.3d ago
Yea. It was hard to ignore the value, but they are non competitive without Blake through a half.
158.3d ago
Detroit really struggling....
  100% (1) UP
158.3d ago
The duck
158.3d ago
Bullock or Kennard
158.4d ago
Neither Stanley nor Leuer starting was unexpected (for me at least)
158.4d ago
Thoughts on Torry Craig? with Harris out
158.4d ago
Russ/Beasley
158.4d ago
Westbrook/Beasley or Grant/Jokic
158.4d ago
Leuer, assuming he starts he’s the best value play
  100% (1) UP
158.4d ago
Bellinelli or Leuer DK?
158.4d ago
Westbrook just due to positional scarcity. I like Drummond a lot which limits Jokic exposure.
158.4d ago
I'm wary of leuer. On short slate I don't know that you need him. Maybe on the later slate yes. But my pf are Morris and milsap for tonight.
  100% (1) UP
158.4d ago
Going Drummond Jackson Leuer Johnson for my DET stack
158.4d ago
Went In with Reggie Bullock brown and Drummond, cash.
158.4d ago
Prefer Jokic or Westbrook tonight?
  100% (1) UP
158.5d ago
Fox, Hield, Bogdan
158.5d ago
Favorite Kings in a game stack on DK?
158.5d ago
@keno Leuer, I think he will start
158.5d ago
@macmonster which site?
158.5d ago
I would be pretty shocked if Harris plays but we'll see, Belleini or Leur Greg? DK
158.5d ago
Do you think it’s worth planning for Gary Harris being out?
158.5d ago
Beasley won’t play much unless Harris is ruled out
158.5d ago
reggie and kennard or schroder beasley DK Cash
158.5d ago
Grant, he could play extra minutes with Noel out
  100% (1) UP
158.5d ago
Derrick white or Jerami Grant on DraftKings?
158.5d ago
The last time Blake was out, Leuer started. Drummond and Stanley Johnson see the most extra production per minute without Hriffin in the floor.
  100% (1) UP
158.5d ago
Blake out who benefits most?
158.5d ago
Probably going full game stack in DET/SAC
  100% (1) UP
158.5d ago
Who else benefits? Looking to stream
158.5d ago
Drummond time
159.2d ago
Well, didn't make much tonight, but I did end up on the positive side, so always a good thing to make money instead of losing it. But the Lakers taking out the Pistons in the 3rd quarter kept me from having a really, REALLY good night. Oh well... :|
159.3d ago
Welp.....shyty night for me . Hopefully u guys did well.
159.3d ago
Nice. All the big guys ended up going off.
159.3d ago
Harden abc and brow together
  100% (2) UP
159.3d ago
On Fd I got a harden and brow line with mahinmi and Suns value. It's interesting
159.3d ago
How are the Cavs keeping this a game? Incredible.
159.3d ago
After today going to have add in that he is also sometimes average
159.4d ago
That Oubre, sometime maybe good sometime maybe shit
159.4d ago
I go 40% Clarkson and don't run it back with any Pels...ugh
159.4d ago
And Neto starting, gotta love when u don’t gotta switch all your lines up lol.
159.4d ago
Nice TT in
159.5d ago
how much do you have of Oubre?
159.5d ago
@stefan Middleton
159.5d ago
Russell or Mitchell on Yahoo?
159.5d ago
@balogunad barea is playing
159.5d ago
For express on FD is AD & Harden a jam them in spot?
159.5d ago
Butler or Middleton?
159.5d ago
Is JJ Barea out now?
159.5d ago
@victor Melton
159.5d ago
@trd Dedmon/Rivers
159.5d ago
@ballgunad I like Jackson a lot more than Morris
159.5d ago
Pass on blossomgame
159.5d ago
Zizic is in play if a Thompson is out
159.5d ago
With mirotic back I think NOR will try to get him extra looks for the 20 minutes he’s in the game and he’ll also eat 1-3 minutes of ADs playing time. Mostly impacting randle though. Plus the blowout risk I think very little AD is in order for me.
159.5d ago
Favourite punt on FD?
159.5d ago
Middleton & Brown or Dedmon & Rivers - DK
159.5d ago
You guys like Marcus Morris at all as a pivot to josh Jackson with The Indiana rim protection down?
  0% (1) UP
159.5d ago
@gehrenberg is blossomgame in play tonight?
159.5d ago
is it worth playing AD or is the blowout risk too big? If thompson is out who gets the biggest bump in your mind?
159.5d ago
is zizic in play if hes out or whos left?
159.5d ago
It would have to be zizic. Nobody else to play.
159.5d ago
Thompson GTD. Cavs are a mess.
159.5d ago
Ante zizic
159.5d ago
TT is questionable now
159.5d ago
So Nance is out and TT now downgraded. WHo would benefit?
159.5d ago
Russel and Ingram Or Mitchel and warren FD CASH
159.5d ago
For DK/Yahoo be ready to pivot off Neto if he doesn’t end starting later
  100% (2) UP
159.5d ago
KOQ is a pass for me
159.5d ago
O'Quinn? (DK)
159.5d ago
@victor all 3
159.5d ago
@whitehadow you can take a chance on Barea if we don’t get an update on Smith/Luk before lock
159.5d ago
@supas no issue with loading up on Suns
159.5d ago
@so Tex Bembry with price not an issue
159.5d ago
Out of Melton, Jackson and Oubre who would you use for FD cash? Also, is it viable to use 2/3 for FD cash?
159.5d ago
Any other value PGs for cash besides Melton for FD cash? Trying not to pay up for Kyrie or Lillard. Also this may be a decent spot to punt the min salary player like Shamet
159.5d ago
Yahoo cash 3-4 suns too many?
159.5d ago
Thanks greg
159.5d ago
Yahoo GPP/Cash, SF and F slots, Bembry, House, Korkmaz, or Turner? I guess if anything, rank them. Thanks!!!
159.5d ago
@whiteshadow DK or yahoo. I know Monstee plays on Yahoo, so that’s the site was referring to. Of the people that here regularly I pretty much know all the platforms each person plays on.
  100% (4) UP
159.5d ago
@fencek Sabonis unless you are leaving thousands of salary on the table
159.5d ago
@relaxn I have him listed for cash and GPP
159.5d ago
Greg when you say Neto, you mean DK only? Or are you now on to him in FD as well?
159.5d ago
Sabonis or one of the Detroit bigs? (DK)
159.5d ago
FWIW, on the James Harden front [not yet accounting for the Korkmaz news] of my top five comping lineups on Yahoo tonight, two of them do NOT have Harden, including my highest comping lineup [so far]. So yeah, there's that. ;)
159.5d ago
Thoughts on Dedmon Dk?
159.5d ago
thanks!
  100% (1) UP
159.5d ago
@ma Jackson
159.5d ago
@btwells Ingles/Russell
159.5d ago
Josh Jackson or Jordan Clarkson?
159.5d ago
Just one main lineup mostly GPP (DJ/Young or Ingles/Russell DK)
159.5d ago
@heythere Ingles
159.5d ago
@relaxn Oubre
159.5d ago
@monstee both if possible
159.5d ago
Carroll, Bembry or Ingles?
159.5d ago
Oubre Or Korkmaz Dk cash?
159.5d ago
Melton or Neto for cash?
159.5d ago
I don't like McConnell with Butler back. Played just 22 minutes last night and a lot of it came in garbage time.
159.5d ago
Thoughts on TJ Mcconnell now? Still like Reggie Jackson over him?
159.5d ago
@btwells for cash?
159.5d ago
@hazebets Melton/Oubre
159.5d ago
Ingles/Russell or DJ/Young DK?
159.5d ago
@79912 I think the cheaper guys like Melton and Neto are stronger plays
159.5d ago
Fav two value plays on DK? Neto/Furk?
159.5d ago
@relaxn Neto and Melton are priorities over Korkmaz
159.5d ago
how about clarkson and burks
159.5d ago
@supas McCollum is fine on Yahoo
159.5d ago
@logan just Thompson
159.5d ago
@whiteshadow I don't think there is a need to roster Augustine tonight
159.5d ago
Oubre Or Korkmaz Dk cash
159.5d ago
@keno Korkmaz is in play
159.5d ago
Rank Neto, Melton, Korkmaz Dk cash
159.5d ago
What abouth CJ Mcc with his history against the bulls for yahoo he is only 23$
159.5d ago
Any good plays on the Cavs now? @greg or just thompson
159.5d ago
Im on the harden train with so much value one can still make great lineups
159.5d ago
Any thoughts on DJ Augustine? Collison listed as GTD
159.5d ago
Kork again? JJ Out
159.5d ago
Don't play Brandon Sampson at $6,200
159.5d ago
Is he worth the $6200 on FD? any input would be appreciated.
159.5d ago
Brandon Sampson? Think he will play tonight?
159.5d ago
I prefer Russell. I have Ingles listed as a GPP play in my player pool. He should get some added ball handling duties.
159.5d ago
Russell or Mitchell DK cash? Thoughts on Ingles?
159.5d ago
@btwells Harden
159.5d ago
@heythere Jackson and the other to aren't in my player pool. Subject to change on Barea if Doncic/Smith are out
159.5d ago
@skywalka he was getting minutes because the Nets had injuries. The guards are all back tonight.
  100% (1) UP
159.5d ago
@keno Oubre
159.5d ago
Favorite GPP play on DK?
159.5d ago
Can you rank Reggie Jackson, Barrea, and Napier for FD?
159.5d ago
Thoughts on napier in cash. Nice matchup. Seems to be getting minutes last 4 games. not expecting a 40 point game but 25???
159.6d ago
Oubre or Evan Turner DK
159.6d ago
Makes sense thanks
159.6d ago
@relaxn I think you should play Sabonis in cash tonight
159.6d ago
Don’t forget this game is being played in Washington and home court makes a difference. It’s worth 2.5 points, so swapping Philly from the home to the road team means a 5 point swing to the spread. The 76ers were favored by 8 last night, so a fair line (based on that number) would be Philly -3. I wouldn’t put much stock into last nights blowout.
159.6d ago
Favorite DK cash play. Jordan, Collins or Sabonis?
159.6d ago
Greg, Spread on Philly/Wsh is only -4. I can't think Reddick makes a huge swing either way. You think this game remains competitive? Seems like a bit of an odd number based off what happened last night.
159.6d ago
Good explanation, thanks
  100% (2) UP
159.6d ago
@keno I prefer Jordan and Sabonis for a bit cheaper
159.6d ago
@bm I view capela differently than Harden. His usage is down since Paul and Gordon got hurt, but he’s shooting almost 70% form the field. I usually like Capela but the Bucks are a tough matchup for centers. Lopez is one of the most effective rebounders in the league and that’s why centers are extremely negative in the rebound category against Milwaukee. That’s where a lot of capela value comes from.
  100% (1) UP
159.6d ago
made an FD line with Harden, ABC, Russel, Dedmon, suns core. time to win all the monies
  100% (1) UP
159.6d ago
Thoughts on Rudy tonight Greg? I love his price on DK
159.6d ago
No love for Capela? Your argument for Harden could easily be applied to Capela. I think he's underpriced as the 2nd offensive option in this offense right now.
159.6d ago
@whiteshadow Jackson
159.6d ago
@logan I like them, but there’s only so many players I can have high exposure to
159.6d ago
@keno I think you should have both
159.6d ago
Josh Jackson or Dedmon DK cash?
159.6d ago
Russell and Neto not core plays? Have them in a lot of my builds
159.6d ago
Neto or Oubre Cash DK
159.6d ago
nearly all in on Harden I would say, though some of the projections with a more balanced lineup grade out really, really well it looks like. Makes it interesting.
159.6d ago
@logan Suns value. Jackson, Melton, oubre
159.6d ago
@heythere Russell/Jackson
159.6d ago
Who’s your core plays tonight @greg? Obviously besides harden.
159.6d ago
Bruce Brown/Griffin or Russell/Josh Jackson?
159.6d ago
very interesting*
159.6d ago
this slate is going to get very interested if/when some combination of nance/hood and doncic/DSJ get ruled out. pretty cut and dry right now with all the suns value
159.6d ago
@heythere Drummond
159.6d ago
@bm Without seeing before and after it is hard to know the exact reason. But I’m guessing some less minutes for Randle moved some more usage to them.
159.6d ago
Favorite C on FD tonight Greg?
159.6d ago
Harden every line again for me. Worked other night. @greg
  100% (1) UP
159.6d ago
Eh...I'll probably go overweight, but probably not 60% like last time. Any idea why jrue holiday and AD got bumped up in light of Mirotic going Q? I expect them to get bumped down.
159.6d ago
Cash games im going Harden, Might go more balanced for gpp
  100% (1) UP
159.6d ago
I'm taking him in every lineup tonight
  100% (1) UP
159.6d ago
Are you guys joining me on Harden again or going elsewhere?
  100% (1) UP