DFS 3/13 Wednesday (free article)

March 13, 2019 by Greg EhrenbergView Comments (137)

Twitter: @gehrenbergdfs

Rockets vs. Warriors is one of the best regular season games of the year and figures to garner attention

Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards - 7:00 pm

ORL

I would have liked this spot a bit better had Aaron Gordon been ruled out, but he will play tonight after coming into listed as questionable with sore ribs. Vucevic is the top target from the Magic and his minutes have been up in recent games with the Magic making a playoff push. Washington’s defense is weak everywhere except for against point guards, but they have struggled the most against power forwards and centers.

Cash Plays

Vucevic
Fournier (Fanduel)

GPP Plays

Vucevic
Fournier
Ross
Isaac
Gordon

WAS

I have been a strong advocate for Beal over the last month, but his Fanduel price is completely out of control. He is priced around the like of Westbrook and Harden. On Draftkings, he still has a usable price tag. Satoransky is also in play, but there isn’t quite as much value here as there was in recent slates with price tags getting steep.

Cash Plays

Beal (Draftkings)
Satoransky

GPP Plays

Beal (Draftkings)
Satoransky

Brooklyn Nets at Oklahoma City Thunder - 7:00 pm

BKN

I think this is the best game to stack tonight. The typically spread out minutes for the Nets should be condensed a bit with both Traveon Graham and DeMarre Carroll ruled out with injuries. The minutes ceiling is a bit higher for Russell, while Caris LeVert should have a higher floor for his minutes. In recent games, LeVert alternated playing minutes in the low 20’s and high 20’s. I expect him to play in the 26-29 minute range and he is a point per minute fantasy producer. I am 0 for all the slates that I have targeted LeVert since coming back from his foot injury, but there is reason to think he has value again.

Cash Plays

LeVert
Russell
Allen (Draftkings)

GPP Plays

LeVert
Russell
Allen
Harris

OKC

For me, Westbrook is the guy to pay up for on this slate. He has a strong matchup against the Nets This is the type of game Westbrook typically thrives in with both teams being up pace teams. Paul George is a high upside GPP play, however there are still concerns regarding his shoulder. He hasn’t shot the ball well since coming back from injury and I suspect he is far from 100%. Jeramy Grant could pick ups couple extra minutes if Markieff Morris (questionable with neck soreness) is ruled out.

Cash Plays

Westbrook
Grant (Draftkings)

GPP Plays

Westbrook
Grant
George

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat - 7:30 pm

DET

This game really sucks compared to the first two on the slate. This game has by far the lowest total of the night with both teams near the bottom of the league in pace. Griffin’s salary is way down, so there is room for upside in GPP, however it is hard to trust anybody in this game because of the likely lack of possessions.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

Griffin

MIA

Josh Richardson is questionable to play, but even if he is out, finding value is tough here. I mentioned the concerns regarding the pace and playing time is also an issue for the Heat. With Dragic and Whiteside both healthy, the playing time has been spread out here in the last few games with upside limited for everybody. Derrick Jones is a fringe punt play if Richardson is out. His best utility would be on Fanduel where his score would likely get dropped with an outside chance of having a good game if he could rack up stocks during his 25 or so minutes. This would only be a consideration if Richardson does not play.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks - 7:30 pm

MEM

Not long ago, Avery Bradley looked completely washed up. He started man games with the Clippers and routinely scored 10-15 fantasy points. His game totally changed when he was traded to the Grizzlies. He looks as good as he did in his Boston days and while Fanduel has priced him up for his recent production, Bradley’s salary hasn’t been adjusted on Draftkings.

Cash Plays

Bradley (Draftkings)

GPP Plays

Bradley
Conley (Draftkings)

ATL

The Hawks are a fade for me tonight. Despite some recent strong games from John Collins and Trae Young, this is a much tougher matchup than what they have been up against recently. Even if Memphis’ defense is regressing on a per possession basis, they are by far the slowest paced team in the league, which makes them one of the stingiest fantasy defenses.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets - 9:30 pm

GSW

With Durant out, there is a bunch of outstanding usage in the Warriors’ offense. Without Durant on the court, Steph Curry has been the primary benefactor this season. His usage jumps to 39.4% without Durant. This number should be tempered a bit since Cousins is now in the mix, but I think a usage increase from 30.6% to around 35% can be expected. Klay and Boogie also see a bump in usage, but Klay has been priced up too much to roster on Fanduel. Finding the space to go up from Curry to Westbrook for cash games is my preferred build, but Curry is reasonable if you can’t make the space.

Cash Plays

Curry
Cousins
Green (Fanduel)

GPP Plays

Curry
Cousins
Thompson (Draftkings)
Green

HOU

It wouldn’t shock me if Harden had a big game tonight. He played 44 minutes the last time Houston played the Warriors and the leverage could mean extended minutes again. However, I think Westbrook is the stronger high end play, which has my leaving Harden out of my player pool. I don’t fault anybody if they want to play Harden, but Russ is my lean in the high tier and Harden generally hasn’t been great playing alongside Paul for DFS value outside of a few big games.

Cash Plays

Paul (Draftkings)

GPP Plays

Paul
Capela

Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns - 10:00 pm

UTA

With Rubio expected to play tonight, Royce O’Neale probably returns to a bench role and Donovan Mitchell loses out on ball handling duties. When Rubio plays I usually don’t have much exposure to the Jazz. This is a strong matchup for them, but the prices are inflated from extra production with Rubio out.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

None

PHO

As great as Gobert is as a real life defender, the fact remains that Utah gets gauged by opposing centers for fantasy purposes. This brings Ayton into play as a contrarian GPP option. Per the ease rankings, every player on the Suns has a negative matchup, but Ayton is in one of the best matchups of the night. A blowout is a slight concern with the Suns as nine point underdogs and their propensity to not show up on many nights. If this game stays close then Ayton should be the reason why.

Cash Plays

None

GPP Plays

Ayton

My preferred tournament strategy is to stack the Nets/Thunder game. I am guessing most people will look to stack Rockets/Warriors, which while a viable strategy, I don't think offers quite as much value as the game being played in OKC.

 
9.0d ago
Sticking with Lin seems to be the right move so far. Somehow has 6 rebs and a blk in the first quarter. wtf
  100% (2) UP
9.0d ago
No, we don't know yet. We will update when we find out
9.0d ago
Do we know for sure if Lloyd is playing or not? Will we know before lock?
9.1d ago
Anybody thinking of doing the Lin > Tyus swap on yahoo now? seems safer for cash
9.1d ago
Likely Powell, McCaw, Kawhi, Meeks running the second unit
  100% (1) UP
9.1d ago
If Jordan Lloyd isn't active, then who will get the extra pg minutes for Toronto that Lin doesn't? Will it just be kawhi running the offense or whatnot? Also, any sense of when we will know on Lloyd?
9.1d ago
I guess the real question is did Lin miss shots because HE was off, or did he miss them because of DET's defense. I'm guessing the former, but I really don't know. However, if he was just off that day, maybe we'll get "on" Lin tonight.
9.1d ago
agreed with @keno, dude couldn't buy a bucket that game.
9.1d ago
Maw he also shot 0-8
9.1d ago
Last time Lin started for Lowry, he had like 7ffp against Detroit. Hopefully the Lakers sh!t show will provide an easier match up!
  100% (1) UP
9.1d ago
Good luck fellas! Sorry I couldn't contribute too much this afternoon, but I do have a few lines running over on Yahoo. Here we go!!!
9.1d ago
Confirmed Jordan Loyd is with the Raptors at the arena, but still unsure if he will he active
  100% (1) UP
9.1d ago
How certain are we that KAT plays? Sorry if it was already answered I couldn't see it though
9.1d ago
He did play G League earlier today, trying to find out if he is with the Raptors. Both games are in Toronto
9.1d ago
Have to go all in Lin. I’m heaviest on Lin, kyrie and towns. If everyone plays for the wolves it could be competitive which is good for towns. And if they all don’t this dude averages like 73 per 36 lol. So he ll still play 30-32 and have a big game. And kyrie should roast the kings at home.
9.1d ago
Lin is hands down the smart play of the day. I'm with you on FD and DK.
9.1d ago
Jordan Loyd not with team? looks like he played a G-league game today
9.1d ago
Going all in on Jeremy Lin. God help me.
  100% (7) UP
9.1d ago
Thank you, Josh. All of you Monster employees are amazing.
  100% (1) UP
9.1d ago
He is playing, just made an adjustment
  100% (1) UP
9.1d ago
Is M. Chriss not supposed to play tonight? Projected for zero minutes.
9.2d ago
All we've seen is this article saying it's not clear if he had a limit: https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/kings/marvin-bagley-set-return-after-missing-five-games-knee-injury
9.2d ago
Greg/Ken, is Bagley on a mins limit tonight?
  100% (1) UP
9.3d ago
sboy, if you click rose's name from the projections page it'll take you to his DFS page, however on that same screen (dfs projections) on the right it shows who's out, doubtful, questionable, etc., click his name there and it takes you to his screen. hope that helps.
9.3d ago
Just use the player search in the upper-right. You may be clicking his name on the DFS page which takes you to his DFS player page (which doesn't show Q%).
  100% (2) UP
9.3d ago
Okay for Derrick Rose because he is not in the starting lineup I can not get to the page that shows % played with W tag. How can I do that? Clicking on his name just takes me to past games played. Thanks trying to nip this in bud
9.3d ago
You should see it in the upper-left below his salary on his player page. You can get there using the search in the upper-right. Can you see the salary at least?
9.3d ago
Ken how do I get to his player page (without the link you provided)? I click on his name on projection grid and got his past games etc but it does not cover the injury % played there
9.3d ago
Thanks @kslight
9.3d ago
It's on his player page and also his latest news update: https://basketballmonster.com/PlayerInfo.aspx?i=3949
  100% (1) UP
9.3d ago
Greg where do we go to see what % of questionable tag games Marcus Smart has played in? (Or anyone else that might know)
10.0d ago
Thon Maker gave me as many points as Satoransky. Luckily Westbrook helped ease some of that.
10.0d ago
Allen was worse then levert he had like 17 and he played 30 min. What a dickhead
10.0d ago
Still @greg what was he? 2 points short of value. 22 at 4800 isn’t a lineup killer.
10.0d ago
Not sharp, LeVert. They gave all the minutes to Dinwiddie. At least Russ and George were good.
10.0d ago
Yep he's making up for Satorasky on DK for me.
10.0d ago
westbrook...sharp as hell Greg
  100% (2) UP
10.0d ago
Also you still prefer Paul to Ayton in cash?
10.0d ago
Need Iguodala answer in next 2 mins. Oy
  0% (1) UP
10.0d ago
what is up with levert?
10.0d ago
Igudola in play? Between him and Mikal Bridges and Josh Jackson who is best for cash?
10.0d ago
Greg do you like Iguadola over Tucker or Josh Jackson now that Iguodala is starting at SF?
10.0d ago
He could, but he's also not much of a fantasy producer. He would need somewhere around 30 minutes to be relevant and that would be shocking if it happened.
10.0d ago
@sboy according to MDA, not expected to play heavy minutes tonight, no. Might be gamesmanship though? ;)
10.0d ago
Greg is Danuel House going to get mins tonight for HOU? Or is that a stretch?
10.1d ago
@injuries Conley if price doesn’t matter
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
Yesss Kieff is out. I had heavy grant exposure. I hope that helps him a bit.
10.1d ago
@mkittaka the score is getting dropped so any min price guy will do. Derrick Jones maybe the one guy with an outside chance for a decent game for non drop.
10.1d ago
Well let’s see if levert night number 5 is the lucky one lol
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
CP3 or Conley in cash?
10.1d ago
I used too as well.
10.1d ago
do you have a favorite sf punt on fanduel?
10.1d ago
I think people get too wrapped up in the projections sometimes.
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
Schroder is irrelevant when everyone is healthy
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
levert
  100% (2) UP
10.1d ago
Schroeder or Levert fd Cash
10.1d ago
@bm Bradley/LeVert
10.1d ago
@relaxn too much variance in Portis for cash
10.1d ago
@relaxn Curry
10.1d ago
@mkittaka I think you are better off just punting at small forward
10.1d ago
@mkittaka not much value in Iggy. He generally doesn't play a ton of minutes.
10.1d ago
@sasin -- Crawford's role has been fading, and he was out of the rotation last game. He might play a few minutes but isn't a lock to be in the rotation.
10.1d ago
DK top 2 value?
  0% (1) UP
10.1d ago
portis solid cash play??? dk cash?
  0% (1) UP
10.1d ago
No projection for Crawford tonight on PHO. Is he shut down for some reason?
10.1d ago
curry or beal straight up dk cash?
  0% (1) UP
10.1d ago
thoughts about Iguodala on yahoo? gpp
10.1d ago
@greg, @logan Thanks guys
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
Having a hard time filling out my roster outside of my okc/bkn stack. What do you think about Prince for fd gpp?
10.1d ago
I don’t either lol I was saying what is there to like? @greg. @relaxn asked about him.
10.1d ago
@injuries Ayton
10.1d ago
Conley or Gobert are both there
10.1d ago
ather go Steven Adams or Ayton in yahoo cash overall points? got Russ and couple nets wings in there
10.1d ago
@logan I don't think Miles is a strong play. Low ceiling and floor.
10.1d ago
I went conley bro @river
10.1d ago
@relaxn pass on McKinnie. He's made a few starts and he's averaging a little over 10 fantasy points.
10.1d ago
@greg DK Tiers: Gobert, Conley or Trae?
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
100 percent @river rat. Lol glad someone is here to reminisce
10.1d ago
Dude could play 40 min and prob only score 20 lol
10.1d ago
What’s good about miles? He averages 0.73 FPPM
10.1d ago
@logan I easily miss the Greg/Matt sarcasm more than any other part of that site.
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
thoughts on mckinney for cash ? cj miles too? dk cash both
10.1d ago
Don't worry I'll send you some fresh fish :)
  100% (2) UP
10.1d ago
Haha all good with me I miss those kinda remarks lol
10.1d ago
Gotta stay on brand
  100% (2) UP
10.1d ago
Lol such a smart ass @greg
  100% (1) UP
10.1d ago
Not much
  100% (2) UP
10.1d ago
What do you think about Dedmon?
10.1d ago
Thanks! ;)
10.1d ago
Russell
10.1d ago
Yeah, I was about to post that it is a game stack, even without Crabbe. I got another one...barring context, would you run D'Angelo Russell or Mike Conley in high stakes as a contrarian play? Or, is the answer the same as the Crabbe/Green one?
10.1d ago
Crabbe for game stack. If not then Green.
10.1d ago
Yahoo GPP, last slot (UTL or F) Jeff Green or Allen Crabbe?
10.2d ago
I don't mind it
10.2d ago
Im making 20 lines for gpp tonight. Viable to go thunder/nets stacks all 20 lines? @greg
10.2d ago
@monstee Russ/Adams if its a game stack. If not then Vuvevic and Curry.
10.2d ago
@patentboy I don't have Faried or Gordon in my player pool. My favorite way to approach GPP tonight is stacking OKC/BKN.
10.2d ago
@al3 I think power forward is a decent punt position. Small forward is a good punt spot as well.
10.2d ago
vooch/curry or westbrook/adams?
10.2d ago
@ Greg. Who are your core plays (DK)? Thoughts on Faried & E. Gordon as GPP plays?
10.2d ago
any ed davis on fd gpp ?
10.2d ago
Thanks Greg!
10.2d ago
@bm I like Conley for GPP
10.2d ago
@agame his minutes have started to dip, which has me off Noah
10.2d ago
@logan Valanciunas
10.2d ago
@jack not much upside in Tucker but he’s pretty safe
  100% (1) UP
10.2d ago
conley against trey young D...not a core play on DK?
10.2d ago
greg... no love for Joakim "the wet dream" Noah? He's been pretty solid over the last few games on DK.
10.2d ago
@greg who scores most fantasy points between JV and portis?
10.2d ago
Looking for a F under 4k on DK and keep landing on PJ Tucker, do you like him at all?
10.2d ago
@greg thanks.
10.2d ago
@bm I wouldn't say they are bad against centers, but they are about neutral
10.2d ago
@Jackieinertia Crabbe is okay, but I prefer Harris for about the same price
  100% (1) UP
10.2d ago
@bells I think SF is a good position to use as the punt spot with so few options. If nothing else opens up then I think it makes sense to go PG and a punt for cash.
10.2d ago
@mkittaka I think Beal is playable on Yahoo
10.2d ago
@al3 Noel and Adams don't play minutes together
10.2d ago
if im playing one GSW player today its Klay at SG. Sf on FD is gross today.
10.2d ago
When did OKC/Adams become bad against centers?
10.2d ago
Curry cousins and klay will have all the useage tonight.
10.2d ago
Yeah but draymond has no usage this year. So it’s just 3 lol @agame
10.2d ago
I think I'm fading the Warriors. It just doesn't work. Cousins is there now eating up a lot of usage. You know last year usually you never played any Warriors, because the usage was too spread out among their 4. One had to be out to bother going there. Well, now there’s 5. So when one sits out, even KD, it essentially just reverts the team back to last year where they have a big 4 and the usage is too spread out as is the production and you can’t play any of them.
10.2d ago
Any love for the Crabbe man?
10.2d ago
@greg for Fanduel you have no SF options for cash...can you rank a few of these. Isaac, Jeff Green, Gerald Green, Joe Harris, Mikal Bridges, Taurean Prince, Trevor Ariza, Josh Richardson, Justice Winslow, Jabari Parker, Kelly Oubre. That's a lot I know, so maybe rank of your 4 favorite cash plays?
10.2d ago
are you a bigger fan of beal on yahoo or is his price still too high?
10.2d ago
could Noel take those Jerian Grant minutes ? or does it take only Adams minutes ?
10.2d ago
I’d go fournier @robby
  100% (1) UP
10.2d ago
For cash
10.2d ago
For cash or gpp? @robby
10.2d ago
If he’s not limited that’s just a great matchup. @greg plus they seem to be giving their core guys few extra minutes.
10.2d ago
I have 5600 left on dk to fill my foward position, current eligible fowards being used already are levert and grant
  0% (1) UP
10.2d ago
Well I think russell scores enough FPPM to be viable in 30 minutes. If he gets 32-33 in an uptempo game then even better.
10.2d ago
Dont get who you can play on the Nets. Even without Graham and Carroll they have roughly 77 dudes on their team that all play 20 minutes and have different crunch time lineups every game.
10.2d ago
I prefer Russell. I'll add in Gordon as a GPP play. A little concerned about the rib injury, but there is still upside for tournaments.
10.2d ago
Or*
10.2d ago
@greg russell of Paul? Price don’t matter just who will produce more.
10.3d ago
No Aaron Gordon? Great matchup
10.3d ago
@robbyd yes