It's not an overreaction if you understand why it's possible this year. First, he's healthy and he improved his shooting form. It was evident in the preseason. Secondly, teams are going to be forced to play their PF on Covington in a lot of games since the Sixers are running Simmons at the point along Redick and Bayless as wings. So this will allow Covington more open looks in both transition and in the halfcourt.

Not to overreact to a 1 game sample size, but it looks like he has a clear 3PT shooting role, similar play time, and will be open much more frequently than last season. 3/g boost?

RoCo doing RoCo things. Hope he's in for a big season!

Covington is a serious talent, but Brett Brown, in my opinion is the worst coach in the league...he has no idea how to use the talent he has (with the obvious exception of Embiid). Very tough to predict anyone on the 76ers with Brown as coach...I think you'll get high volatility results with anyone on the 76ers.

Covington looks better than he ever did last year. I've watched every Sixer game this preseason. His shot has improved, he's healthy, and he's playing with much better talent around him this year. His efficiency will improve slightly as well as his points and 3's. I see him as top 40 this year.

I think you are wrong...

I'm thinking almost same stats as Wesley Matthews in terms of usage rate, p/g and 3/g.

I think with Embiid, Fultz, Simmons and Redick in their starting lineup RoCo will average around 10p/g

Seems about right to me. Covington is a good player in real life. (#25 in RPM in the NBA). He has a skill with 3's and defense that should keep him on the court regardless of who else they draft or through any trades. I always like to ground my picks especially from bad teams or who's role could change with this extra knowledge.

I think last year we got a much bigger discount for Covington and this year his price tag is higher (thanks for Josh's broadcast). It's a still a good deal just not as good as last year. I wonder Prince will be the new Covington this year.

What don't you agree with in the projection?

getting him in the 5th round in most mocks. projection a little aggressive?

It's possible he could see a slight dip in boards, but not enough to significantly impact him. His value is going to come from threes and steals. Those numbers aren't going anywhere. Per his field goal percentage, better players help there, while hurting usage. It's reasonable to think he gets more open looks than ever before

Do you think this projection is relying to heavily on last 3 months? Rebounds could might dip more given the talent around him and a healthy Embiid and why does he average a much improved FG% compared to past 3 years?