User Comments

   
13.8d
draftstreetking
20 team dynasty, 6th round keeper sound pretty fair. That's kind of where I would have to justify keeping him. 25 to 28 minutes I think would probably be worth it.
14.0d
TreborGrebtsev
Nice PnR partner for Schröder. Guess his playing time will depend some on how good Collins look, but I'd be surprised if he plays less than 25 mpg.
14.2d
draftstreetking
25+ minutes a game? What do we think now that he's in Atlanta.
21.4d
kslight
100% (1) agree 
I'll answer the $ question in your forum post.
21.9d
theo156
Hey, I was wondering how the dollar $ value which you can find in rankings or projections page is calculated. I mean, what's the formula behind it? Thanks in advance.
25.5d
#27155
If Jrue resigns with the Pels for a massive 5 year contract, what do we expect to see from him next year? I can't see him playing off-ball as much. Some uptick in production I think with the lack of other options besides boogie/AD? Have the ability to keep for $13 in keeper league.
26.3d
joshlloyd48
So much water to go under the bridge. I think he'd be third string at best though
26.8d
draftstreetking
I think Morey keeps him. He probably went after him while he was in transaction salary match/dump mode as a smoke screen. What you guys think.
29.8d
gehrenberg
100% (1) agree 
It would be really on brand for the Bulls to hold onto Rondo and start him over Dunn now. I'm not a Dunn fan, but there is no reason he shouldn't play as many minutes as possible next year.
30.2d
joshlloyd48
100% (2) agree 
Just absolutely ludicrous decision making. They are going to be terrible, so maybe they can get a top 3 pick, but remember, they also won't don't have their second rounder, which could be as high as 31st. Idiots.
32.9d
kupslavin
100% (3) agree 
Was waiting for your breakdown, Josh. Appreciate the work you did on this podcast. Although I'm not a CHI fan, am still confused with what the Bulls were doing at the draft. They traded Butler and felt the need include #16 as sweetener. Then gave away Bell to the world champs. smh.
34.3d
j0r6320
The only benefit I see with trading for PG and having Lopez expiring contract is that it seems, tell me if I'm wrong, that theoretically we could sign 2 max contracts after next year and extend PG and Lopez right? so we could theoretically have 4 max contract right? That being said I would I would only give 1 of those 2 picks and either randle or clarkson depending what we can draft. Do you think trading our 2 for Sac's 5 and 10 is a realistic possibility? I would love to have a crack at getting Smith and isaac.
34.7d
Yooona
Unless the Lakers trade for PG it's not guaranteed at all that he becomes a Laker. A lot can change in a year for him if he experiences a winning environment on another team. Trading 27, 28 and Clarkson or Randle (contract year) is worth it in my opinion. Cheers Josh.
34.7d
IrvDizzle
how does the DAngelo for Lopez trade impact Justin? increased minutes? would Mozgov be the better play early?
35.1d
Juggernaut
100% (1) agree 
Brook's fantasy value will prob be about the same. Zubac assassinated for the year. Russell should continue to grow. Lin might be negatively affected but he's always hurt anyway. Mozgov might have sneaky value in deeper leagues.
35.4d
thanvor
What's your opinion about his trade with D' Angelo Russell? Both will be benefited from this trade?
37.6d
nonyschuk
kk thanks! Guy in my league isn't interested in Ball so I could probably package the #4 pick with Jrue for Simmons + Richardson but I'm thinking that might be too steep a price. You think it's too steep?
38.4d
joshlloyd48
Fultz to Philly seems like it is contingent on the Lakers not picking Jackson at two, so there is a little more doubt today than there was yesterday. Between Ball and Simmons, I wouldn't be surprised if Ball is the better fantasy player, but I would take my chances with Simmons. I would rather have Simmons over Ball as I feel like they could both have similar assist numbers, but Simmons should get more defensive numbers and better rebounds, and have a higher usage. It is close, though.
38.5d
nonyschuk
So it would seem that Fultz to Philly is all but a formality now. How do you think that affects Simmons fantasy potential? next year and dynasty? I've got the #2 and #4 picks in our rookie draft and could potentially trade the #2 pick and Adams for Simmons. Looking to draft DSJ either way with the #4 pick. So basically do you think Ball is the better prospect than Simmons both now and in the future? Also, I already have Jrue and Wall at the point and only Draymond at SF so that's a factor for me. Thanks!
45.3d
joshlloyd48
His value is totally dependent on steals. When his wrist was sore, he hardly got any steals and he slid outside top 100. When it was better, he jumped back up and played more minutes and got more steals.
45.4d
Juggernaut
Very quietly finished rank 68 on the 2017 season. Was looking like he was cooked near the halfway mark.
48.7d
IrvDizzle
this spreadsheet that you have where you have team independent stat projections for rookies ... is this a hypothetical spreadsheet where if I have enough hot peppers I'll find it like Homer found his spirit guide? ... orrrrrrrrrrrrrrr is it something we can get next year when our subscriptions renew? be interesting to see whose #s are affected based on which team drafts them (both up and down)
54.4d
joshlloyd48
100% (1) agree 
Van Gundy has limited all of his point guards' minutes, not just Jackson
55.2d
TheRealKaboom2
Josh, Reggie Jackson has asthma. Do you think that could be the reason why SVG limits his minutes?
58.2d
TheRealKaboom2
100% (1) agree 
29:25 XD
60.1d
joshlloyd48
100% (1) agree 
I'd actually be keeping all of those guys. You legit have three potential top 12 guys there. I acknowledge the risk, but I'd be holding.
60.9d
jw9nine
Yr 2 of 3 yr/4 player keeper, 9 cat league. AD, Kyrie, Embiid, CJMc or Kmid as 4th keeper. AD and Kyrie had good season from an inj standpoint but 1 yr doesnot make a trend. Trade or keep Embiid (assuming I can get top30-35 floor, not as high ceiling player back) given the inj history of AD+Kyrie?
63.4d
hegmanu
100% (1) agree 
Fair... and you were right! I thought Pop might shake things up, but no such luck
64.4d
joshlloyd48
50% (2) agree 
Because I have no confidence in Pop playing him. He only got in in junk time in the last game, even with David Lee and Kawhi both out.
64.5d
hegmanu
0% (1) agree 
any reason why he is missing from the DFS projections (draftkings) for tonight?
64.5d
kchung4388
100% (1) agree 
Would you guys take Curry 1st next year? This dude always ends up at #1 in overall value by the end of the season especially in the last couple years. He just seems the most reliable even over guys like Harden/Westbrook/Giannis.
77.2d
kupslavin
It's okay to have a difference in opinion in drafting since it's not an exact science. Scouts and GMs already have a ton of info to create a fool-proof model but a lot of them still fail come draft day. It's how a team like the Pacers grab a Paul George at #10 in 2010 then end up trading Kawhi for George Hill the following year, but I digress. As for the Bucks pick, my gut tells me that they would've done everything possible to land Thon Maker, but since he's already unavailable in this redraft, I would've picked Juancho or Bender if they're looking for a skilled/versatile prospect(I was surprised to see Bender still available this late)then try to either buy a pick later in the draft to address the team's shooting needs at guard or see who's available in free agency.
77.4d
joshlloyd48
As I said on the show, I don't really like Chriss, but I had to take him at 16. BUt, my earlier picks where Murray, Ingram, Maker, Juancho and I feel good about taking all of them above him. I can see an argument for having Chriss over Juancho, but that is a personal preference sort of thing, I believe.
77.6d
gehrenberg
As for the Hield pick, I will defend it since it was my pick. I don't have an issue with a one-dimensional player in this draft because I feel good about him having a role in the NBA. I think he fits in really well with the Bucks squad, which is really hurting for perimeter shooting. Who do you see as a better fit for the Bucks team? Keeping in mind the pick is made at draft time last year
77.6d
gehrenberg
I think we have a difference on the upside of Chriss then. I don't see him as a high upside/home run type of guy. I think his upside is high energy bench guy. I don't want to speak for Josh and Kyle, but I don't think either of them see him as a potential franchise changer either. Simmons is the only guy in this draft I see with that kind of upside.
77.7d
kupslavin
If you're in the lottery, the quickest way to turn a franchise's fortune around is to hit a homerun with young, high upside draft picks. That's how the Bucks & Nuggets have been generally drafting lately. Best player available/star upside over fit and close to finished products. Surely one could find a place in the late lottery for a raw player like Chriss who might just be a good mentor away from realizing his potential. Game focus and consistency can be taught and learned. Not to pick on Hield, but I'm not a fan of drafting semi one-dimensional players.
77.8d
gehrenberg
Personally I was pretty unimpressed with Chriss as a player last year. I think saying he has a mediocre basketball IQ is generous. Who do you think he should have been drafted ahead of?
78.1d
kupslavin
100% (2) agree 
Marquese Chriss at #16 of a supposedly "weak" draft? I get that he's foul-prone and perceived to have a mediocre basketball IQ, but he's a late-bloomer 19 year old athlete who's just starting to figure things out. C'mon guys.
101.3d
al3b3d3v
Narrative for Sunday is cray
103.5d
GDiama
100% (2) agree 
Finally a healthy season and although he had a shooting slump after ASG he was money come playoff time. Josh never again doubt Jimmy Buckets!
104.2d
joshlloyd48
100% (1) agree 
He can't do both of those things. If he takes his option, which he won't do, he takes one more year on his current deal. If he opts out, and gets a max, because he has played 10 years, it should come in at $36 million
104.2d
kewentian
I'm in a salary cap keeper league, how much would Lowry's contract be next year if he takes the player option and signs for the max with toronto?
104.5d
kslight
100% (2) agree 
Sorry about that, and Smith has been updated.
104.5d
kslight
Yes, something's up, and I'll take a look.
104.5d
tmfaherty89
Why such a low rebound projection today? He should get 20+ minutes and has averaged around 5 per 20 mpg this year
105.1d
joshlloyd48
0% (1) agree 
He has played three games this season over 30 minutes and has scored 22, 23, and 28 points
105.1d
bracki
0% (1) agree 
why is he projected for 24 points tonight? whole season didnt score more than 23...
105.3d
gehrenberg
That's a pretty old article it is from December. He has since said he plans on playing next year. http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/18815347/dirk-nowitzki-dallas-mavericks-planning-return-20th-season
105.3d
Neumann19
I thought that I read that he would retire, but I missed the all-important "If" in the article! Please disregard! http://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/dirk-nowitzki-says-retirement-an-option-after-this-season-if-things-dont-go-well/
105.3d
joshlloyd48
Wait, is Dirk retiring?
105.3d
Neumann19
Does anyone else feel like Carlisle will cut the minutes restriction in Dirk's last game on Wednesday? He's too classy to pull a Kobe, right?
105.7d
M.C. Hammer
0% (4) agree 
what are the chances that Russell is back for the final game against GS ??
105.9d
TreborGrebtsev
The breakout is real, too bad injuries derailed so much of his season. Hope the Heat make it to the playoffs so we can get some more JRich action. Interesting for next season.
106.2d
joshlloyd48
It has not been confirmed, but the Kings will rest around 3-4 guys and he seems a logical candidate, that's why i marked him as doubtful.
106.2d
stevenadamsismvp
Can someone confirm if he will be rested? i cannot find any evidence other than the fact he has dnp'd 3 out of 6 last games but i need know if its been said for sure as hes on a b2b and i need to take advantage of the spot.
106.3d
joshlloyd48
He averages 2.4 blocks in 28 minutes in the D-League and his college projections and translations show him to be a decent shot blocker
106.3d
Neumann19
Last few games played of the season and I'm hunting blocks. The projections are pretty generous for a guy who has never had a multi-block game in his NBA career. Should I pick him up for two games? Feels so risky with so much on the line.
106.4d
Thrillard45
100% (2) agree 
Dang dude this guy is a stud
106.4d
gehrenberg
He's 24% on fanduel and 25% on draftkings
106.4d
So-Tex
Yahoo DFS...K Love, 6% in the $1 dollar multi, 9.1% in the $5. I managed to get him into one lineup for each...crossing my fingers! ;)
106.4d
gehrenberg
100% (1) agree 
Here's a way to explain gpp vs cash players ak Murphy. Player A is priced 6k and scores 30 fantasy points every game. Player B is priced 6k and alternates games with 20 and 40 fantasy points. Assuming neutral matchups and ownership player A would be considered a cash game player and player B would be considered a gpp player
106.4d
gehrenberg
But I agree 100% on trying to target teams/players with something to play for
106.4d
gehrenberg
Boohaa I don't think love will be low ownership. I would expect him to be the highest owned power forward on the slate assuming everybody saw he's playing. 1.73 fantasy points per minute with LBJ and Kyrie off the floor. I would expect him to be pretty chalky, but I could be wrong
106.4d
gehrenberg
100% (1) agree 
Some guys are very high variance which makes them too risky to play in cash games. But the variance can be preferred in gpp because it can mean certain players have higher upsides with lower floors
106.4d
gehrenberg
100% (1) agree 
Just a joke because these are some serious degenrate slates we are getting into
106.4d
ak murthy
Can someone help me understand why some players are better for GPP than cash? Also I don't understand what this means: The self exclusion option was made for people who think they still need to be playing NBA DFS
106.4d
boohaa
100% (2) agree 
Ok freeebie since yall been so nice. Target people who games matter tonight. Cp3, Blake, Jame johnson, Dragic, Josh Richardson, Tyler johnson, ABC, Middleton, PG13, Thad young been hot lately too now that hand healed? Throw in some outside long shots low ownership include K Love, Jennings. Sneaky long shot play Evan Turner is a ball handling SF, he should have a lot of touches if he stays out on floor.
106.4d
boohaa
Neither, take Jennings if its GPP... TjMcconnell > Ish
106.4d
tjzwarych
0% (1) agree 
Ish Smith or TJ McConnell?
106.4d
dsmiami
50% (2) agree 
"The self exclusion option was made for people who think they still need to be playing NBA DFS" ak murthy mrachek kslight bm1234 al3bd3v skywalka2000 boohaa Bely714 LeslieFrazier
106.4d
gehrenberg
Love in. So much usage for him. Great play if he gets the minutes
106.5d
mrachek
100% (2) agree 
These articles and projections have won me loads of money on FanDuel. Wish you guys kept it going for MLB would have subscribed in a heartbeat
106.5d
kslight
It's free, but we do have Baseball Monster. https://baseballmonster.com/default.aspx
106.5d
gehrenberg
This was super fun for me to do as well. I am really happy I did this and I really appreciate you guys interacting with me on these every day. You guys really don't know how many career opportunities this has opened for me that I never really had considered before. Everybody who comes to me with ideas for content related things brings up the interactive aspect of these articles
106.5d
bm1234
As others have echoed, your NBA articles are great. It's been a great year for me, partly thanks to your articles. BTW MLB is way too high variance for me. I rather play tonight's NBA slate 100x over than MLB slate. Unless you are doing a similar article for MLB :)
106.5d
al3b3d3v
went against Pineda today, got crushed. but the colorado stack is still in play, chalky chalk goodness.
106.5d
kylemckeown16
scoobydoo -- I haven't been able to find anything.
106.5d
skywalka2000
Do you guys have a projection site for baseball?
106.5d
gehrenberg
That's a good question bm. I'm not sure of now, but I would guess I won't be doing them for playoffs
106.6d
boohaa
Played MLB, made some money last week; Its very painfull though. Still playing NBA till the wheels fall off.
106.6d
Bely714
100% (1) agree 
Thanks Greg. Sounds like I should make the shift over to baseball then. I'll be listening to your podcast. You, Josh, and the BM projections were a huge help in making my introduction to NBA dfs a profitable one
106.6d
bm1234
Are you doing these articles for playoffs?
106.6d
gehrenberg
I am with you Leslie. These slates are very difficult to play. I am in full baseball mode
106.6d
gehrenberg
Bely to be honest I can't remember how the playoffs played out last year. I did play some NBA gpps for playoffs. I won one playoff gpp on fanduel last year, but I think 100-200 people had the same lineup, so the payout wasn't great. I would guess same nights will be playable but most nights won't be
106.6d
LeslieFrazier
I had planned on playing NBA until the end of the season but this is a lil too crazy for me! Thanks for doing these articles, helped me out a lot this year. You should consider charging more $. =P
106.6d
Bely714
Haha yep...the BM player alerts page is entertaining. How many rounds into the playoffs do you consider "good dfs play"? First round only? Or do sites typically offer multi-day slates in order to increase the player pool?
106.7d
scoobydoo
Has there been any comment from Gentry about whether Jrue would play in the B2B this week?
106.8d
kslight
For now, we do not have any SAC players resting Tuesday which typically means McLemore does not play.
106.8d
tcschell
Not sure why, but McLemore is listed for just one game in weekly projections.
107.3d
ferris
57% (7) agree 
Hard to believe the Lakers look primed to win their 4th straight. What a profound failure of the new administration.
107.5d
manpanzee
I believe in the ability. But he's also giant, older than you think, and there are unanswered questions about his ability to hold up playing full time over an 82-game season. I <3 Boban, but sadly I don't have a lot of faith that it'll ever really happen, fantasy-wise
107.5d
ferris
Is Boban going to play 22+ minutes today?
108.5d
kylemckeown16
sircharlesbarkley - Holiday only played 25 minutes last night, and he's at risk of playing reduced minutes again tonight. Gentry is unpredictable, so there's a chance Holiday could play 30+ tonight, but that doesn't appear likely. The Pelicans are out of the playoff race and giving minutes to their end-of-bench players.
108.6d
sircharlesbarkley
I've just seen the upgraded projection. i think i miss some news or interview about his minutes. after DMC and AD out, what do you think about tonight?
109.1d
LagunaLaker
100% (1) agree 
Boban or Cody Zeller for the last 3 games? I have 1 more move left.
109.2d
evoboy
he's not in fight with watson is he? 11 big minutes........
109.2d
Lowkey
What do you guys think of him next season? His per 36s are exciting and he owned today but still has Drummond in front of him
109.3d
moe05
100% (5) agree 
This guy is a Beast when he gets minutes.
109.6d
LagunaLaker
Laker PG to own ros?
109.8d
gehrenberg
That's my bad 2 games ago without Porzingis he played just 17 minutes